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In ProgressMagLab Geomagnetic Event Prediction
Machine learning model for automated detection of Sudden Storm Commencements and Sudden Impulses.
Leading research and development of a Random Forest machine learning model that automatically detects geomagnetic events with high accuracy—enabling early warning systems for space weather that protect satellite infrastructure worth billions of dollars. Currently improving model performance and working on publishing a comprehensive research paper that combines statistical validation with ML-based detection, advancing space weather forecasting capabilities.
- Developed and trained Random Forest classifier achieving 88.9% recall and 88.9% precision for SSC detection using engineered features from SYM/H magnetometer data—significantly outperforming traditional threshold-based methods.
- Engineered domain-specific features capturing pre-event quietness, compression amplitude, and ring current response to differentiate between storm commencements and impulses, enabling automated classification previously requiring manual expert analysis.
- Currently improving model performance for SSC/SI differentiation and multi-latitude generalization while preparing comprehensive research paper integrating machine learning detection with multi-latitude statistical validation.
- Implemented feature importance analysis revealing physical signatures—SYM/H minimum and pre-event quietness—as primary discriminators, validating model against known geophysical processes and demonstrating interpretable ML for space physics.
